Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Niels McDonald
Team pages: Dimitris Sakellaridis · Niels McDonald
Prediction summary
Winner
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Niels McDonald
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Dimitris Sakellaridis
7-3 (W-L)
Niels McDonald
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dimitris Sakellaridis 1582 · Niels McDonald 1517
| Dimitris Sakellaridis | Niels McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dimitris Sakellaridis (rating 1582 vs 1517).
- Note: Niels McDonald makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Dimitris Sakellaridis | Niels McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-7.3 | 11.2-10.5 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 26/07 | Miguel Damas Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Radovan Michalik M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Matic Kriznik M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Michael Savano M15 Store |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Bozo Barun M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Niels McDonald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 14/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Aristotelis Thanos M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Niels McDonald?
Our model gives 57% to Niels McDonald, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.