Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Elmer Moller vs Marko Topo
Team pages: Elmer Moller · Marko Topo
Prediction summary
Winner
Elmer Moller
Marko Topo
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Elmer Moller
6-4 (W-L)
Marko Topo
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elmer Moller
1–0
Marko Topo
(1 last)
- 21 May2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elmer Moller 1497 · Marko Topo 1505
| Elmer Moller | Marko Topo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Elmer Moller 1–0 Marko Topo (1).
- Note: Elmer Moller makes many double faults (6.7/match).
- Note: Marko Topo makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Elmer Moller | Marko Topo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.9 | 12.2-12.4 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 6.7 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 68% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 39.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Elmer Moller 1 – 0 Marko Topo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elmer Moller 1–0 Marko Topo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/24 Challenger Augsburg | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elmer Moller
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Thomas Faurel ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Luca Potenza Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/05 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Andy Andrade Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 04/05 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/04 | Jannik Sinner ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Marko Topo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Alexander Donski Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elmer Moller vs Marko Topo?
Our model gives 50% to Elmer Moller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.