Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele Pieri
Team pages: Gilles Arnaud Bailly · Samuele Pieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Samuele Pieri
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
5-5 (W-L)
Samuele Pieri
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gilles Arnaud Bailly 1469 · Samuele Pieri 1479
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Samuele Pieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Samuele Pieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-13 | 11.4-12.4 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 32.9% | 58.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Miguel Damas Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Henri Squire Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Pol Martin Tiffon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Aristotelis Thanos M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Samuele Pieri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/07 | Moritz Kudernatsch Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Noel Larwig Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Tim Handel M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele Pieri?
Our model gives 58% to Gilles Arnaud Bailly, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.