Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Guy Den Ouden vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Team pages: Guy Den Ouden · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Prediction summary
Winner
Guy Den Ouden
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Guy Den Ouden
5-5 (W-L)
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Guy Den Ouden
1–0
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
(1 last)
- 15 Jul2-1 15-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guy Den Ouden 1593 · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1606
| Guy Den Ouden | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Guy Den Ouden 1–0 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (1).
Statistics
| Guy Den Ouden | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.8 | 13.8-9.1 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Guy Den Ouden 1 – 0 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guy Den Ouden 1–0 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/25 Challenger Bunschoten | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guy Den Ouden
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Federico Coria Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Yi Zhou Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Johan Nikles Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Dmitry Popko Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guy Den Ouden vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida?
Our model gives 55% to Guy Den Ouden, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.