Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Giustino
Team pages: Olle Wallin · Lorenzo Giustino
Prediction summary
Winner
Olle Wallin
Lorenzo Giustino
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Olle Wallin
7-3 (W-L)
Lorenzo Giustino
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olle Wallin 1581 · Lorenzo Giustino 1537
| Olle Wallin | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olle Wallin (rating 1581 vs 1537).
Statistics
| Olle Wallin | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.7 | 11.7-11.1 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olle Wallin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Vincent Dullinger Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Valentin Royer Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Samir Hamza Reguig Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Maximilian Neuchrist Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Matei Varbanciu Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Lorenzo Giustino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Federico Cina ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Nico Hipfl ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 11/07 | Miguel Damas Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Jack Loge Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Giustino?
Our model gives 52% to Olle Wallin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.