Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrena
Team pages: Johan Nikles · Alex Barrena
Prediction summary
Winner
Johan Nikles
Alex Barrena
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Johan Nikles
4-6 (W-L)
Alex Barrena
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Johan Nikles 1507 · Alex Barrena 1454
| Johan Nikles | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Johan Nikles (rating 1507 vs 1454).
Statistics
| Johan Nikles | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.4 | 10.8-12.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 29.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johan Nikles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Niels Ratiu M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Walid Ahouda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 26/06 | Karim Bennani M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Timofey Skatov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrena?
Our model gives 55% to Alex Barrena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.