Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 28/07, 11:00
Prediction: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle
Team pages: Mili Poljicak · Enrico Dalla Valle
Prediction summary
Winner
Mili Poljicak
Enrico Dalla Valle
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mili Poljicak
6-4 (W-L)
Enrico Dalla Valle
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mili Poljicak 1523 · Enrico Dalla Valle 1579
| Mili Poljicak | Enrico Dalla Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enrico Dalla Valle (rating 1523 vs 1579).
Statistics
| Mili Poljicak | Enrico Dalla Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.9 | 12-8.7 |
| Aces | 7 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 79.9% | 79% |
| Break % | 33.9% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mili Poljicak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Jozef Kovalik Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Enrico Baldisserri Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 28/06 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Bozo Barun M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Enrico Dalla Valle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Mattia Logrippo Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Ignacio Carou Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/07 | Boris Arias Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle?
Our model gives 58% to Enrico Dalla Valle, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.