Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 28/07, 12:30
Prediction: Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Tommaso Compagnucci
Team pages: Facundo Diaz Acosta · Tommaso Compagnucci
Prediction summary
Winner
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Tommaso Compagnucci
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Facundo Diaz Acosta
6-4 (W-L)
Tommaso Compagnucci
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1575 · Tommaso Compagnucci 1576
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Tommaso Compagnucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Tommaso Compagnucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-11.8 | 10.5-8.4 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Federico Cina ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Lautaro Midon ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 10/07 | Niels McDonald Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 04/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Tommaso Compagnucci
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Dali Blanch Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/07 | Siddhant Banthia Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Alex Huszar M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Francesco Giuseppe Colasanto Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Tommaso Compagnucci?
Our model gives 69% to Facundo Diaz Acosta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.