Tennis · M25 Bolzano · 28/07, 10:00
Prediction: Michele Mecarelli vs Vladyslav Orlov
Team pages: Michele Mecarelli · Vladyslav Orlov
Prediction summary
Winner
Michele Mecarelli
Vladyslav Orlov
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Michele Mecarelli
4-6 (W-L)
Vladyslav Orlov
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michele Mecarelli 1446 · Vladyslav Orlov 1631
| Michele Mecarelli | Vladyslav Orlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 74% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vladyslav Orlov (rating 1446 vs 1631).
- Vladyslav Orlov is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Michele Mecarelli | Vladyslav Orlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 17% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.4 | 13.3-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michele Mecarelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Andrea Tognolini M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Leonardo Borrelli M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 14/06 | Jakub Paul Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Andrea Guerrieri M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-1 | 0-6 | L |
Vladyslav Orlov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Tomohiro Masabayashi M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Lambert Ruland M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Luca Staeheli M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Facundo Yunis M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Nico Hipfl M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Jan Chlodnicki M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Jakub Vrtilka M15 Lodz |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 05/07 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michele Mecarelli vs Vladyslav Orlov?
Our model gives 75% to Vladyslav Orlov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.