Tennis · M25 Bolzano · 28/07, 10:00
Prediction: Sebastian Sorger vs Maximilian Figl
Team pages: Sebastian Sorger · Maximilian Figl
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Sorger
Maximilian Figl
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Sorger
5-5 (W-L)
Maximilian Figl
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sebastian Sorger
1–0
Maximilian Figl
(1 last)
- 28 Jul2-1 14-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Sorger 1531 · Maximilian Figl 1433
| Sebastian Sorger | Maximilian Figl | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Sorger (rating 1531 vs 1433).
- Sebastian Sorger is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sebastian Sorger 1–0 Maximilian Figl (1).
Statistics
| Sebastian Sorger | Maximilian Figl | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.7 | 9.2-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 59.2% | 25.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Sebastian Sorger 1 – 0 Maximilian Figl (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sebastian Sorger 1–0 Maximilian Figl
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/25 M25 Bolzano | 2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Sorger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Fares Zakaria M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Alexander Gschiel M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Yanaki Milev M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Aaron Funk M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Roman Postolka M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 26/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Matic Dimic M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Vito Tonejc M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/06 | Andrej Nedic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Maximilian Figl
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Leonardo Iemmi M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Store |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Leyton Rivera M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Nik Mikovic M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Pablo Aunion M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Radu Mihai Papoe M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Calvin Mueller M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/05 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Sorger vs Maximilian Figl?
Our model gives 76% to Sebastian Sorger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.