Tennis · M25 Bolzano · 28/07, 10:00
Prediction: Niccolo Ciavarella vs Adrian Andreev
Team pages: Niccolo Ciavarella · Adrian Andreev
Prediction summary
Winner
Niccolo Ciavarella
Adrian Andreev
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Niccolo Ciavarella
4-6 (W-L)
Adrian Andreev
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niccolo Ciavarella 1440 · Adrian Andreev 1575
| Niccolo Ciavarella | Adrian Andreev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrian Andreev (rating 1440 vs 1575).
- Adrian Andreev is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Niccolo Ciavarella | Adrian Andreev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 14% (7) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-11.5 | 12.4-8.1 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niccolo Ciavarella
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Raffaele Ciurnelli M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Ilya Snitari M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Antonio Caruso M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Alessandro Coccioli M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Adrian Andreev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Nicolas Parizzia M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Mathys Domenc M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Alexandr Binda M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Damien Clerc M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/01 | Sean Cuenin M25 Marrakech |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 01/01 | Silvio Mencaglia M25 Marrakech |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 31/12 | Yassine Smiej M25 Marrakech |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/12 | Denis Klok ITF M15 Agadir · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 25/12 | Ali Missoum ITF M15 Agadir · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/12 | Nicolas Garcia Longo ITF M15 Agadir · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niccolo Ciavarella vs Adrian Andreev?
Our model gives 79% to Adrian Andreev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.