Tennis · M25 Bolzano · 28/07, 10:00
Prediction: Gabriele Pennaforti vs Giacomo Crisostomo
Team pages: Gabriele Pennaforti
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Pennaforti
Giacomo Crisostomo
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Pennaforti
6-4 (W-L)
Giacomo Crisostomo
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Pennaforti 1467 · Giacomo Crisostomo 1451
| Gabriele Pennaforti | Giacomo Crisostomo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Gabriele Pennaforti makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Gabriele Pennaforti | Giacomo Crisostomo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-9.3 | 8.9-12 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 29.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Pennaforti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Pietro Marino M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | David Eichenseher M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Sean Cuenin Challenger Kigali · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/03 | Alec Beckley Challenger Kigali Qual · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/03 | Florent Bax Challenger Kigali · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/11 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Montemar · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 14/11 | Ziga Sesko ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 13/11 | Michele Mecarelli ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/11 | Giannicola Misasi ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Giacomo Crisostomo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Vito Antonio Darderi M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Antonio Caruso M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Matteo Vavassori M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Vito Antonio Darderi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Mae Malige M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Alessandro Coccioli M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Andrea Guerrieri M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Pennaforti vs Giacomo Crisostomo?
Our model gives 67% to Gabriele Pennaforti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.