Tennis · M25 Bolzano · 28/07, 10:00
Prediction: Peter Buldorini vs Federico Arnaboldi
Team pages: Peter Buldorini · Federico Arnaboldi
Prediction summary
Winner
Peter Buldorini
Federico Arnaboldi
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Peter Buldorini
5-5 (W-L)
Federico Arnaboldi
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Peter Buldorini 1446 · Federico Arnaboldi 1562
| Peter Buldorini | Federico Arnaboldi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Arnaboldi (rating 1446 vs 1562).
- Federico Arnaboldi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Peter Buldorini makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Peter Buldorini | Federico Arnaboldi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.4 | 12.1-7.7 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peter Buldorini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Nicola Rispoli M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Porto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Jasin Jakupi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Robert Strombachs Davis Cup |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Tamerlan Azizov Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Petar Jovanovic Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Federico Arnaboldi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Peetu Pohjola Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Niccolo Ciavarella M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Petr Nesterov M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Gilberto Ravasio M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peter Buldorini vs Federico Arnaboldi?
Our model gives 77% to Federico Arnaboldi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.