Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 28/07, 15:00
Prediction: Timofey Skatov vs Thomas Faurel
Prediction summary
Winner
Timofey Skatov
Thomas Faurel
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Timofey Skatov
5-5 (W-L)
Thomas Faurel
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Timofey Skatov
0–1
Thomas Faurel
(1 last)
- 30 Jun1-2 8-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timofey Skatov 1512 · Thomas Faurel 1452
| Timofey Skatov | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Timofey Skatov (rating 1512 vs 1452).
- Head-to-head: Timofey Skatov 0–1 Thomas Faurel (1).
Statistics
| Timofey Skatov | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.7 | 13.7-14 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 33.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
H2H · Timofey Skatov 0 – 1 Thomas Faurel (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Timofey Skatov 0–1 Thomas Faurel
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/25 Challenger Troyes | 1-2 | 8-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timofey Skatov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Jesper De Jong ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Joao Domingues ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 13/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Anirudh Chandrasekar ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Elias Ymer Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Thomas Faurel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 13/07 | Miguel Damas ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Elmer Moller ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Clement Tabur Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Florent Bax Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Valentin Vacherot French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 19-22 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timofey Skatov vs Thomas Faurel?
Our model gives 58% to Timofey Skatov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.