Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 27/07, 17:00
Prediction: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Jurij Rodionov
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Jurij Rodionov
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Boscardin Dias
3-7 (W-L)
Jurij Rodionov
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Boscardin Dias 1393 · Jurij Rodionov 1495
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | Jurij Rodionov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jurij Rodionov (rating 1393 vs 1495).
- Pedro Boscardin Dias dominates on serve: 10.7 aces and 43.2% break avg.
- Jurij Rodionov dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 46.5% break avg.
- Jurij Rodionov is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | Jurij Rodionov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 11% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.8 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-13.4 | 11-10.6 |
| Aces | 10.7 | 7.5 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Alexis Galarneau French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Nikoloz Basilashvili French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Jurij Rodionov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Joel Schwaerzler ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/07 | Andrey Chepelev ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Clement Tabur ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Remy Bertola Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Oliver Crawford Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Jurij Rodionov?
Our model gives 69% to Jurij Rodionov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.