Tennis · M25 Bolzano · 27/07, 14:30
Prediction: Leonardo Borrelli vs Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
Prediction summary
Winner
Leonardo Borrelli
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Leonardo Borrelli
4-6 (W-L)
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Leonardo Borrelli
1–0
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
(1 last)
- 01 Jul2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leonardo Borrelli 1482 · Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei 1480
| Leonardo Borrelli | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Leonardo Borrelli 1–0 Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (1).
- Note: Leonardo Borrelli makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Leonardo Borrelli | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-10.6 | 9-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 37.2% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Leonardo Borrelli 1 – 0 Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leonardo Borrelli 1–0 Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 M15 Umag | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leonardo Borrelli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Moritz Kolbe M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Jonas Kucera M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Sebastiano Cocola M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Mattia Cona M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Leonardo Borrelli M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Karel Froemel M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Hugo Car M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Florent Bax M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/03 | Marco Furlanetto M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/03 | Viacheslav Bielinskyi M15 Rovinj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/03 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Rovinj · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/03 | Sven Corbinais M15 Rovinj · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/02 | Gregor Hausberger M25 Trento · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leonardo Borrelli vs Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei?
Our model gives 59% to Leonardo Borrelli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.