Tennis · M15 Strasbourg · 27/07, 16:30
Prediction: Noah Karma vs Sacha Grandvincent
Team pages: Noah Karma · Sacha Grandvincent
Prediction summary
Winner
Noah Karma
Sacha Grandvincent
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Noah Karma
6-4 (W-L)
Sacha Grandvincent
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noah Karma 1495 · Sacha Grandvincent 1492
| Noah Karma | Sacha Grandvincent | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sacha Grandvincent makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Noah Karma | Sacha Grandvincent | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.5 | 9.2-8.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 73% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noah Karma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Thomas George Brun M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Tanguy Genier M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Justin Schlageter M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Matteo Covato M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Raphael Perot Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Mili Poljicak M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Ryo Tabata M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-1 | 7-8 | L |
| 26/05 | Simon Knezevic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Maxime Chazal M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Henry Lieberman M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-7 | W |
Sacha Grandvincent
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Marwan Haida-Lamrani M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Timothe Barthes M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Noah Boutleux UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Gokberk Saritas M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/02 | Florent Lagarrigue M15 Lannion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 15/02 | Alexandre Reco M15 Lannion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/02 | Scott Ekindi M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 12/01 | Aubin Rouillon M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/01 | Jeremy Schifris M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/01 | Victor Bonnet Eymard M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noah Karma vs Sacha Grandvincent?
Our model gives 67% to Noah Karma, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.