Tennis · M15 Strasbourg · 27/07, 11:00

Prediction: Dorian Tremblay vs Noah Boutleux

Team pages: Dorian Tremblay · Noah Boutleux

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Dorian Tremblay Noah Boutleux
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dorian Tremblay 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWLWWLLL
Noah Boutleux 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dorian Tremblay 1432 · Noah Boutleux 1520
Dorian TremblayNoah Boutleux
Our model38%62%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noah Boutleux (rating 1432 vs 1520).
  • Noah Boutleux is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Dorian TremblayNoah Boutleux
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.41.2-1
Games (G-P)7.8-10.210.2-9.6
Aces3.52.8
Double faults2.63.6
1st serve %61.2%74.8%
Break %39.1%68.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dorian Tremblay

WWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/07 Max Benaim
M15 Rognac
0-2 8-13 L
29/06 Ivan Biletic
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 7-11 L
25/06 Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
23/06 Nazar Oliynykov
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
22/06 Luka Vuglar
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
16/06 Piotr Galus
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
25/05 Lasse Poertner
M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay
1-2 8-11 L
06/04 Ludvig Fredrik Hede
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
13/03 Linang Xiao
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
12/03 Daniil Sarksian
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Noah Boutleux

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Axel Huysmans
M15 Strasbourg
2-0 12-5 W
21/07 Loann Massard
M15 Rognac
0-2 5-12 L
13/07 Arthur Laborde
M25 Uriage
0-2 8-13 L
12/07 Noe Vallier
M25 Uriage
2-0 12-0 W
22/06 Noe Milliard
M25 Montauban · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
17/05 Filip Malis
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-1 14-13 W
16/05 Timeo Bretin
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-1 12-13 W
15/05 Julien Dando
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
13/05 Joris Moret
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
12/05 Sacha Grandvincent
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dorian Tremblay vs Noah Boutleux?

Our model gives 56% to Noah Boutleux, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.