Tennis · ATP Washington · 28/07, 16:00
Prediction: Trevor Svajda vs Jakub Mensik
Prediction summary
Winner
Trevor Svajda
Jakub Mensik
Estimated games
27.2Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Trevor Svajda
9-1 (W-L)
Jakub Mensik
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trevor Svajda 1587 · Jakub Mensik 1529
| Trevor Svajda | Jakub Mensik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trevor Svajda (rating 1587 vs 1529).
- Note: Jakub Mensik makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Trevor Svajda | Jakub Mensik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 2.1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-9.7 | 18.7-18.6 |
| Aces | 5 | 11.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 77% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 28.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.2 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +6.7
Over 20.5: 88% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 12% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trevor Svajda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Elias Ymer ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 12/07 | Aidan Kim M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Evan Zhu M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Matthew Forbes M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Jie Cui Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Jakub Mensik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Grigor Dimitrov Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 20-24 | L |
| 30/06 | Toby Samuel Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-25 | W |
| 16/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 05/06 | Alexander Zverev French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 16-22 | L |
| 02/06 | Joao Fonseca French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 31/05 | Andrey Rublev French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 25-24 | W |
| 29/05 | Alex De Minaur French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/05 | Mariano Navone French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 22-25 | W |
| 24/05 | Titouan Droguet French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Ignacio Buse ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trevor Svajda vs Jakub Mensik?
Our model gives 63% to Jakub Mensik, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.