Tennis · ATP Washington · 28/07, 16:00
Prediction: Ugo Humbert vs Andres Martin
Prediction summary
Winner
Ugo Humbert
Andres Martin
Estimated games
25.7Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ugo Humbert
7-3 (W-L)
Andres Martin
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ugo Humbert 1549 · Andres Martin 1533
| Ugo Humbert | Andres Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 85% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Ugo Humbert dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 45.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Ugo Humbert | Andres Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 70% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 1.6-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-11.9 | 14.4-12.6 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.7 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +5.2
Over 20.5: 82% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 18% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ugo Humbert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Zizou Bergs Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 22-26 | L |
| 28/06 | Zizou Bergs ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Quentin Halys ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 20/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 16/06 | Marin Cilic ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Andres Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Moez Echargui ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 23/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 05/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Luca Pow M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ugo Humbert vs Andres Martin?
Our model gives 71% to Ugo Humbert, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.