Tennis · ATP Washington · 27/07, 21:30
Prediction: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandar Vukic
Zachary Svajda
Estimated games
25.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandar Vukic
7-3 (W-L)
Zachary Svajda
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aleksandar Vukic
1–4
Zachary Svajda
(5 last)
- 06 Jun0-2 9-13L
- 22 Feb0-2 6-12L
- 05 Feb0-2 8-13L
- 23 Aug0-2 9-13L
- 17 Sept2-1 15-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandar Vukic 1516 · Zachary Svajda 1519
| Aleksandar Vukic | Zachary Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Aleksandar Vukic 1–4 Zachary Svajda (5).
Statistics
| Aleksandar Vukic | Zachary Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 0% (3) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.1 | 13.8-13.4 |
| Aces | 7 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 76.9% |
| Break % | 35.5% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.8
Over 22.5: 69% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 31% · 1.83
H2H · Aleksandar Vukic 1 – 4 Zachary Svajda (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aleksandar Vukic 1–4 Zachary Svajda
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/23 Challenger Surbiton | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/02/23 Challenger Rome GA | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/02/23 ATP Dallas | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/08/22 US Open | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/09/21 Challenger Cary | 2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandar Vukic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Alex Bolt ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 19/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Jenson Brooksby Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 8-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Zachary Svajda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Stefan Kozlov ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-23 | L |
| 02/07 | Kamil Majchrzak Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-22 | W |
| 30/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Martin Damm ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Liam Broady ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Flavio Cobolli French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-25 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda?
Our model gives 58% to Zachary Svajda, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.