Tennis · ATP Washington · 28/07, 16:00
Prediction: Marcos Giron vs Cruz Hewitt
Prediction summary
Winner
Marcos Giron
Cruz Hewitt
Estimated games
25.5Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marcos Giron
4-6 (W-L)
Cruz Hewitt
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marcos Giron 1484 · Cruz Hewitt 1471
| Marcos Giron | Cruz Hewitt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Marcos Giron dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 41.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Marcos Giron | Cruz Hewitt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 38% (8) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.3 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.4-15.2 | 9.8-11.3 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.5 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +6
Over 19.5: 85% · 1.90
Under 19.5: 15% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marcos Giron
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Andre Ilagan ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/07 | Aryan Shah ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 02/07 | Quentin Halys Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Corentin Moutet Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 22/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 20/06 | Charles Broom ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Ignacio Buse ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 14/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
Cruz Hewitt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Niels McDonald M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Mariano Dedura-Palomero M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/05 | John Sperle M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/05 | Takuya Kumasaka M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Isaac Becroft M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Kasidit Samrej M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 01/05 | Masamichi Imamura M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marcos Giron vs Cruz Hewitt?
Our model gives 72% to Marcos Giron, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.