Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 27/07, 12:30
Prediction: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Johan Nikles
Prediction summary
Winner
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Johan Nikles
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
8-2 (W-L)
Johan Nikles
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
0–1
Johan Nikles
(1 last)
- 29 Sept0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1591 · Johan Nikles 1530
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Johan Nikles | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (rating 1591 vs 1530).
- Head-to-head: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0–1 Johan Nikles (1).
Statistics
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Johan Nikles | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-10.2 | 11.7-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0 – 1 Johan Nikles (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0–1 Johan Nikles
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/21 Challenger Lima | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Dmitry Popko Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Johan Nikles
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Niels Ratiu M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Walid Ahouda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 26/06 | Karim Bennani M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Matthieu Chambonniere M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Johan Nikles?
Our model gives 70% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.