Tennis · M25 Bolzano · 27/07, 11:30
Prediction: Davide Tortora vs Alberto Morolli
Prediction summary
Winner
Davide Tortora
Alberto Morolli
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Davide Tortora
7-3 (W-L)
Alberto Morolli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Davide Tortora 1580 · Alberto Morolli 1494
| Davide Tortora | Alberto Morolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Davide Tortora (rating 1580 vs 1494).
- Davide Tortora is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Davide Tortora | Alberto Morolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 0.9-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-9 | 7.8-9.3 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Davide Tortora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Romeo Spinolo M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Jorge Plans M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Niccolo Baroni M15 Store |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Attila Dominik Boros M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Store |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Jeremy Schifris M15 Store |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/05 | Roberto Cid Subervi M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 12/05 | Tygen Goldammer M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-7 | W |
Alberto Morolli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Adriano Botta M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Gabrielius Guzauskas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Gabriel Sardo M15 Altamura · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Nicola Senn M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 03/03 | Philip Weber M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 02/03 | Mateja Stanisavljevic M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/02 | Filippo Romano M25 Trento · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/02 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M25 Trento · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/02 | Nicolo Toffanin M25 Trento · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Davide Tortora vs Alberto Morolli?
Our model gives 78% to Davide Tortora, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.