Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 27/07, 11:00
Prediction: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Alex Marti Pujolras
Prediction summary
Winner
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Alex Marti Pujolras
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Dimitris Sakellaridis
6-4 (W-L)
Alex Marti Pujolras
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dimitris Sakellaridis 1554 · Alex Marti Pujolras 1458
| Dimitris Sakellaridis | Alex Marti Pujolras | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dimitris Sakellaridis (rating 1554 vs 1458).
- Dimitris Sakellaridis is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Alex Marti Pujolras makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Dimitris Sakellaridis | Alex Marti Pujolras | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7.3 | 9.5-10.9 |
| Aces | 3 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 7.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 67% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 63% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Miguel Damas Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Radovan Michalik M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Matic Kriznik M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Michael Savano M15 Store |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Bozo Barun M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Alex Marti Pujolras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Abel Forger Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Samir Hamza Reguig Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Vijay Sundar Prashanth Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Alex Marti Pujolras?
Our model gives 54% to Alex Marti Pujolras, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.