Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 27/07, 11:00
Prediction: Giuseppe La Vela vs Samuele Pieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Giuseppe La Vela
Samuele Pieri
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Giuseppe La Vela
5-5 (W-L)
Samuele Pieri
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giuseppe La Vela 1504 · Samuele Pieri 1475
| Giuseppe La Vela | Samuele Pieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Giuseppe La Vela | Samuele Pieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.6 | 11.5-12.3 |
| Aces | 2 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giuseppe La Vela
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Leonardo Borrelli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/06 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Simone Massellani M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Filippo Busciola M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Calvin Mueller M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/05 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Samuele Pieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Moritz Kudernatsch Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Noel Larwig Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Tim Handel M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giuseppe La Vela vs Samuele Pieri?
Our model gives 57% to Samuele Pieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.