Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 27/07, 12:30
Prediction: Daniel Elahi Galan vs Mika Petkovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Elahi Galan
Mika Petkovic
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Elahi Galan
5-5 (W-L)
Mika Petkovic
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Elahi Galan 1519 · Mika Petkovic 1554
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Mika Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Mika Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.8 | 11.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 28.4% | 62.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Elahi Galan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Michiel de Krom Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Abel Forger Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 12/06 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 11/06 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Mika Petkovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Adrian Oetzbach Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Felix Alopaeus Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Sander Jong Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Manvydas Balciunas Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Elahi Galan vs Mika Petkovic?
Our model gives 57% to Daniel Elahi Galan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.