Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 28/07, 11:00
Prediction: Max Dahlin vs Matteo Martineau
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Dahlin
Matteo Martineau
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Max Dahlin
7-3 (W-L)
Matteo Martineau
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Dahlin 1509 · Matteo Martineau 1496
| Max Dahlin | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Max Dahlin | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.1 | 10.2-10.8 |
| Aces | 5 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76.9% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Dahlin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Raphael Perot ITF M15 Ann Arbor · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Evan Bynoe ITF M15 Ann Arbor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Alan Magadan ITF M15 Ann Arbor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Matthew Thomson ITF M15 Ann Arbor · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 22/08 | Nikola Slavic ITF M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/08 | John Hallquist Lithen ITF M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 19/08 | Lawrence Bataljin ITF M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Jonathan Mridha ITF M15 Ystad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 12/08 | Filip Gustafsson ITF M15 Ystad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Matteo Martineau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Dahlin vs Matteo Martineau?
Our model gives 55% to Matteo Martineau, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.