Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 27/07, 10:00
Prediction: Mili Poljicak vs Jozef Kovalik
Prediction summary
Winner
Mili Poljicak
Jozef Kovalik
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mili Poljicak
6-4 (W-L)
Jozef Kovalik
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mili Poljicak 1502 · Jozef Kovalik 1486
| Mili Poljicak | Jozef Kovalik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mili Poljicak | Jozef Kovalik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.3 | 12.5-13.6 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 77.6% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 35.5% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mili Poljicak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Enrico Baldisserri Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 28/06 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Bozo Barun M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/05 | Duje Ajdukovic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Jozef Kovalik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 05/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 19/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 18/06 | Piotr Galus M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
1-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 26/05 | Andrej Martin Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Federico Bondioli M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/12 | Ondrej Horak Czechia Extraliga |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Bad Waltersdorf · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Bad Waltersdorf · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mili Poljicak vs Jozef Kovalik?
Our model gives 57% to Mili Poljicak, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.