Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 28/07, 19:00
Prediction: Andy Andrade vs Alexei Popyrin
Prediction summary
Winner
Andy Andrade
Alexei Popyrin
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Andy Andrade
2-8 (W-L)
Alexei Popyrin
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andy Andrade 1456 · Alexei Popyrin 1485
| Andy Andrade | Alexei Popyrin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Andy Andrade makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Andy Andrade | Alexei Popyrin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-12.7 | 11.2-13.3 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 21.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andy Andrade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Colton Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Ammar Elamin Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 03/06 | Timo Legout Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Jan Choinski French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Elmer Moller Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/05 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/04 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger Savannah · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Alexei Popyrin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Jiri Lehecka Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Raphael Collignon ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Zachary Svajda French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 20-23 | L |
| 21/05 | Casper Ruud ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Taylor Fritz ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/05 | Clement Tabur ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 11/05 | Jannik Sinner ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Jakub Mensik ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 07/05 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andy Andrade vs Alexei Popyrin?
Our model gives 70% to Alexei Popyrin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.