Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 28/07, 19:00
Prediction: Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Prediction summary
Winner
Keegan Rice
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Keegan Rice
9-1 (W-L)
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Keegan Rice 1515 · Pablo Llamas Ruiz 1507
| Keegan Rice | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Keegan Rice | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.5 | 12.6-14.2 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 31.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Keegan Rice
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexander Rozin Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/07 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Laval |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Jay Friend M25 Laval |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Liam Draxl M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Matthew Thomson M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Dan Martin M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/11 | Dan Martin Challenger Drummondville · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Zachary Svajda Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-26 | L |
| 24/06 | Pol Martin Tiffon Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Dan Added Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Daniel Merida Aguilar Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/05 | Thiago Agustin Tirante French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 16-25 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
Our model gives 66% to Pablo Llamas Ruiz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.