Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 28/07, 19:00
Prediction: Dane Sweeny vs Duncan Chan
Prediction summary
Winner
Dane Sweeny
Duncan Chan
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Dane Sweeny
5-5 (W-L)
Duncan Chan
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dane Sweeny 1492 · Duncan Chan 1514
| Dane Sweeny | Duncan Chan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Dane Sweeny | Duncan Chan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-14.3 | 11.8-12.4 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 33.9% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dane Sweeny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Andres Martin Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Grigor Dimitrov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 23-24 | W |
| 22/06 | Franco Roncadelli Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Toby Samuel Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Billy Harris Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Duncan Chan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/07 | James McCabe Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 20/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Timo Legout M25 Laval |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Nicola Ion M25 Laval |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Braden Shick M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ryan Colby M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dane Sweeny vs Duncan Chan?
Our model gives 55% to Dane Sweeny, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.