Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 28/07, 19:00
Prediction: Benjamin Bonzi vs Blaise Bicknell
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Bonzi
Blaise Bicknell
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Bonzi
5-5 (W-L)
Blaise Bicknell
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Bonzi 1542 · Blaise Bicknell 1455
| Benjamin Bonzi | Blaise Bicknell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benjamin Bonzi (rating 1542 vs 1455).
- Benjamin Bonzi is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Benjamin Bonzi | Blaise Bicknell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.6 | 12.1-13.5 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 27.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Bonzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Mees Rottgering ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Bernard Tomic ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 06/06 | Marc Polmans ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/05 | Alexander Zverev French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 14/05 | Tallon Griekspoor Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Blaise Bicknell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Karl Poling Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 03/06 | Johannus Monday Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 25/05 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 08/05 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 06/05 | Aditya Vishal Balsekar Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/04 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 23/04 | Yanki Erel Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Bonzi vs Blaise Bicknell?
Our model gives 74% to Benjamin Bonzi, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.