Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 28/07, 15:00
Prediction: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Andrea Pellegrino
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Andrea Pellegrino
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Carlo Alberto Caniato
6-4 (W-L)
Andrea Pellegrino
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1463 · Andrea Pellegrino 1502
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Andrea Pellegrino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Andrea Pellegrino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11 | 12.2-11.8 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 76.9% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 32% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 08/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/06 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 02/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Andrea Pellegrino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 18/07 | Joao Silva ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Jay Clarke Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 06/06 | Daniel Merida Aguilar Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 05/06 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Andrea Pellegrino?
Our model gives 60% to Andrea Pellegrino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.