Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 27/07, 13:00
Prediction: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Rincon
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Rincon
5-5 (W-L)
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Rincon 1527 · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 1490
| Daniel Rincon | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daniel Rincon | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-13.9 | 11.1-12.9 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Rincon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 20/07 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 11/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Laslo Djere Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 01/07 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/07 | Marc Majdandzic ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Daniel Evans Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Martin Landaluce French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 22-28 | L |
| 21/05 | Coleman Wong French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo?
Our model gives 50% to Daniel Rincon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.