Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 27/07, 11:00

Prediction: Olle Wallin vs Matthew William Donald

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Olle Wallin Matthew William Donald
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Olle Wallin 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWLWWWWL
Matthew William Donald 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Olle Wallin 1573 · Matthew William Donald 1542
Olle WallinMatthew William Donald
Our model54%46%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Olle WallinMatthew William Donald
Win %80%70%
Win % · Clay 80% (10) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.71.4-0.7
Games (G-P)13.3-9.210.5-7.5
Aces5.71.5
Double faults2.23.7
1st serve %71.4%67.2%
Break %49.2%54.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Olle Wallin

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Vincent Dullinger
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-1 16-10 W
09/07 Valentin Royer
Challenger Iasi · Clay
1-2 16-16 L
07/07 Samir Hamza Reguig
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
06/07 Maximilian Neuchrist
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
05/07 Matei Varbanciu
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
03/07 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger Brasov · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
02/07 Frederico Ferreira Silva
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
30/06 Cezar Cretu
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
29/06 Sergey Fomin
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-1 15-11 W
28/06 Dragos Nicolae Cazacu
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-1 19-14 W

Matthew William Donald

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Christopher Thies
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
12/07 Max Wiskandt
M25 Kassel
0-2 8-13 L
11/07 Adrian Oetzbach
M25 Kassel
2-0 12-6 W
10/07 Ioannis Xilas
M25 Kassel
2-1 17-12 W
09/07 Nikolai Barsukov
M25 Kassel
2-0 12-3 W
08/07 Arian Barbic
M25 Kassel
2-0 12-6 W
30/06 Francisco Comesana
Challenger Milan · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
29/06 Tommaso Compagnucci
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-0 12-0 W
28/06 Luca Potenza
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
26/06 Fausto Tabacco
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 4-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Olle Wallin vs Matthew William Donald?

Our model gives 56% to Olle Wallin, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.