Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 27/07, 10:00
Prediction: Michael Vrbensky vs Maxime Janvier
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Vrbensky
Maxime Janvier
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Vrbensky
2-8 (W-L)
Maxime Janvier
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Michael Vrbensky
1–1
Maxime Janvier
(2 last)
- 28 Jun1-2 15-17L
- 03 Aug2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Vrbensky 1395 · Maxime Janvier 1450
| Michael Vrbensky | Maxime Janvier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxime Janvier (rating 1395 vs 1450).
- Note: Michael Vrbensky makes many double faults (5.2/match).
- Note: Maxime Janvier makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Michael Vrbensky | Maxime Janvier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 10% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.9 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-14.6 | 10.9-13.8 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 30.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
H2H · Michael Vrbensky 1 – 1 Maxime Janvier (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Michael Vrbensky 1–1 Maxime Janvier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Challenger Brasov | 1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 03/08/25 Challenger Cordenons | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Vrbensky
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Patrik Niklas-Salminen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 28/06 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Dali Blanch Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Tunis · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 26/04 | Daniel Cukierman Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/04 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/03 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Menorca · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 22/03 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Alicante · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Maxime Janvier
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/07 | Giammarco Gandolfi Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 28/06 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/06 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Vrbensky vs Maxime Janvier?
Our model gives 57% to Maxime Janvier, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.