Tennis · ATP Washington · 27/07, 16:00
Prediction: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Tabilo
Tallon Griekspoor
Estimated games
25.7Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Tabilo
2-8 (W-L)
Tallon Griekspoor
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Tabilo 1463 · Tallon Griekspoor 1449
| Alejandro Tabilo | Tallon Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alejandro Tabilo | Tallon Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.8 | 1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-14.6 | 13.3-14.6 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 24.2% | 29.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.7 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +2.2
Over 23.5: 65% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 35% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Tabilo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Tiago Torres ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Lautaro Midon ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Kamil Majchrzak Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 23/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 30/05 | Moise Kouame French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 26/05 | Kamil Majchrzak French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
| 16/05 | Miomir Kecmanovic Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Tallon Griekspoor
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | James Duckworth Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 16/06 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Zhizhen Zhang ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Matteo Arnaldi French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 19-25 | L |
| 16/05 | Raphael Collignon Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Alex Molcan Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/05 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/05 | Alexander Blockx ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 26/04 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor?
Our model gives 52% to Alejandro Tabilo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.