Tennis · ATP Washington · 27/07, 16:00
Prediction: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane
Prediction summary
Winner
Frances Tiafoe
Terence Atmane
Estimated games
28Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Frances Tiafoe
7-3 (W-L)
Terence Atmane
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Frances Tiafoe
3–0
Terence Atmane
(3 last)
- 01 Jul3-1 23-17W
- 24 Mar2-1 13-14W
- 10 Feb2-1 16-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Frances Tiafoe 1595 · Terence Atmane 1425
| Frances Tiafoe | Terence Atmane | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 27% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frances Tiafoe (rating 1595 vs 1425).
- Frances Tiafoe dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 41.2% break avg.
- Frances Tiafoe is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Frances Tiafoe 3–0 Terence Atmane (3).
Statistics
| Frances Tiafoe | Terence Atmane | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 20% |
| Win % · Grass | 80% (10) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.8 | 0.9-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.1-12.5 | 12.9-16.1 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 7.5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.1% | 75% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 17.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
28 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +5.5
Over 22.5: 83% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 17% · 1.72
H2H · Frances Tiafoe 3 – 0 Terence Atmane (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Frances Tiafoe 3–0 Terence Atmane
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 Wimbledon | 3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 24/03/26 ATP Miami | 2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 10/02/26 ATP Dallas | 2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Frances Tiafoe
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Alexander Bublik Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 27-28 | L |
| 02/07 | Jan Choinski Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-15 | W |
| 01/07 | Terence Atmane Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 21/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Terence Atmane
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Frances Tiafoe Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-23 | L |
| 22/06 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 17/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Martin Landaluce ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/06 | Nuno Borges ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Thanasi Kokkinakis French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 23-29 | L |
| 18/05 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 09/05 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Zizou Bergs ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane?
Our model gives 70% to Frances Tiafoe, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.