Tennis · ATP Washington · 27/07, 16:00
Prediction: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodar
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Fils
Rafael Jodar
Estimated games
26.8Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Fils
6-4 (W-L)
Rafael Jodar
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arthur Fils
1–0
Rafael Jodar
(1 last)
- 18 Apr2-1 15-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Fils 1580 · Rafael Jodar 1550
| Arthur Fils | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Arthur Fils 1–0 Rafael Jodar (1).
Statistics
| Arthur Fils | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 2.2-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-11 | 19.4-15.9 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 77.1% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.8 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +3.3
Over 23.5: 72% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 28% · 1.80
H2H · Arthur Fils 1 – 0 Rafael Jodar (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arthur Fils 1–0 Rafael Jodar
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 ATP Barcelona | 2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Fils
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Matteo Berrettini Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 30/06 | Raphael Collignon Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 01/05 | Jannik Sinner ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/04 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Emilio Nava ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/04 | Ignacio Buse ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 19/04 | Andrey Rublev ATP Barcelona · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/04 | Rafael Jodar ATP Barcelona · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/04 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Barcelona · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Rafael Jodar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 20-20 | L |
| 02/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 22-22 | W |
| 29/06 | Felix Gill Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 02/06 | Alexander Zverev French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 31/05 | Pablo Carreno Busta French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 26-17 | W |
| 29/05 | Alex Michelsen French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 29-25 | W |
| 27/05 | James Duckworth French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 25-17 | W |
| 25/05 | Aleksandar Kovacevic French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Luciano Darderi ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 12/05 | Learner Tien ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodar?
Our model gives 56% to Arthur Fils, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.