Tennis · ATP Washington · 27/07, 16:00
Prediction: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paul
Prediction summary
Winner
Kamil Majchrzak
Tommy Paul
Estimated games
27.5Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kamil Majchrzak
7-3 (W-L)
Tommy Paul
10-0 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kamil Majchrzak
1–1
Tommy Paul
(2 last)
- 22 Jul2-0 13-10W
- 01 Nov0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kamil Majchrzak 1556 · Tommy Paul 1568
| Kamil Majchrzak | Tommy Paul | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Kamil Majchrzak dominates on serve: 7 aces and 48.9% break avg.
- Tommy Paul dominates on serve: 9.1 aces and 47.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Kamil Majchrzak | Tommy Paul | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 70% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.9 | 2.1-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.6-13.1 | 16.7-12.8 |
| Aces | 7 | 9.1 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 78% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.5 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +6
Over 21.5: 86% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 14% · 1.83
H2H · Kamil Majchrzak 1 – 1 Tommy Paul (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kamil Majchrzak 1–1 Tommy Paul
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/19 ATP Atlanta | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/11/18 Challenger Charlottesville | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kamil Majchrzak
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Zachary Svajda Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 22-26 | L |
| 30/06 | Alejandro Tabilo Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 13/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | James McCabe ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Otto Virtanen ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 07/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 05/06 | Sho Shimabukuro Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Tommy Paul
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Hubert Hurkacz Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 01/07 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 29/06 | Alexandre Muller Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Zachary Svajda ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Casper Ruud French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 28-30 | L |
| 27/05 | Lorenzo Sonego French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paul?
Our model gives 63% to Tommy Paul, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.