Tennis · ATP Washington · 27/07, 16:00
Prediction: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergs
Prediction summary
Winner
Taylor Fritz
Zizou Bergs
Estimated games
29.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Taylor Fritz
5-5 (W-L)
Zizou Bergs
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Taylor Fritz
1–0
Zizou Bergs
(1 last)
- 17 Jun2-1 18-17W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taylor Fritz 1589 · Zizou Bergs 1553
| Taylor Fritz | Zizou Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 76% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Zizou Bergs dominates on serve: 10.1 aces and 41.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Taylor Fritz 1–0 Zizou Bergs (1).
- Note: Zizou Bergs makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Taylor Fritz | Zizou Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 80% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.9 | 1.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.6-14 | 17.7-15.6 |
| Aces | 17.3 | 10.1 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 82.3% | 74.5% |
| Break % | 33.7% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
29.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +6.8
Over 22.5: 89% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 11% · 1.72
H2H · Taylor Fritz 1 – 0 Zizou Bergs (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taylor Fritz 1–0 Zizou Bergs
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/26 ATP Halle | 2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taylor Fritz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 06/07 | Alexander Bublik Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Lorenzo Sonego Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 02/07 | Patrick Kypson Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Dusan Lajovic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 21/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Alexander Zverev ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/06 | Ben Shelton ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 18/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Zizou Bergs ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Zizou Bergs
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 29-25 | L |
| 02/07 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 30/06 | Ugo Humbert Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-22 | W |
| 28/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Jaume Munar ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 10/06 | James McCabe ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 24/05 | Tomas Machac French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergs?
Our model gives 67% to Taylor Fritz, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.