Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 28/07, 15:00
Prediction: Filippo Romano vs Otto Virtanen
Prediction summary
Winner
Filippo Romano
Otto Virtanen
Estimated games
26.3
Recent form · 10 last
Filippo Romano
5-5 (W-L)
Otto Virtanen
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Filippo Romano
0–1
Otto Virtanen
(1 last)
- 05 Jun0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filippo Romano 1484 · Otto Virtanen 1589
| Filippo Romano | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Otto Virtanen (rating 1484 vs 1589).
- Otto Virtanen dominates on serve: 9.3 aces and 40.1% break avg.
- Otto Virtanen is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Filippo Romano 0–1 Otto Virtanen (1).
Statistics
| Filippo Romano | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 43% (7) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.6 | 1.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-13.9 | 15.9-14.3 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 9.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 77.4% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.3
H2H · Filippo Romano 0 – 1 Otto Virtanen (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Filippo Romano 0–1 Otto Virtanen
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/26 Challenger Birmingham | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filippo Romano
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Max Basing Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Murphy Cassone ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Felix Gill Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Otto Virtanen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/07 | Dylan Dietrich ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 30/06 | Ben Shelton Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-25 | W |
| 25/06 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 24/06 | Luca Nardi Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Pedro Martinez Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filippo Romano vs Otto Virtanen?
Our model gives 68% to Otto Virtanen, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.