Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 26/07, 19:00
Prediction: Hayato Matsuoka vs Guillaume Dalmasso
Prediction summary
Winner
Hayato Matsuoka
Guillaume Dalmasso
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Hayato Matsuoka
4-6 (W-L)
Guillaume Dalmasso
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hayato Matsuoka 1485 · Guillaume Dalmasso 1510
| Hayato Matsuoka | Guillaume Dalmasso | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Guillaume Dalmasso dominates on serve: 6 aces and 54.3% break avg.
- Note: Hayato Matsuoka makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Guillaume Dalmasso makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Hayato Matsuoka | Guillaume Dalmasso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-10.7 | 12-11.1 |
| Aces | 2 | 6 |
| Double faults | 4 | 7.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 78.7% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 54.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hayato Matsuoka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Colton Smith Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Matisse Farzam Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Liam Broady Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Guillaume Dalmasso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | James Trotter Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mikael Arseneault Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/07 | Volodymyr Gurenko Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Luc Fomba M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Valentin Lapalu M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Filip Peliwo M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Tom Zeuch M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hayato Matsuoka vs Guillaume Dalmasso?
Our model gives 61% to Hayato Matsuoka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.