Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 26/07, 22:00
Prediction: Tyler Zink vs Nicolas Arseneault
Prediction summary
Winner
Tyler Zink
Nicolas Arseneault
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tyler Zink
5-5 (W-L)
Nicolas Arseneault
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tyler Zink 1483 · Nicolas Arseneault 1445
| Tyler Zink | Nicolas Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tyler Zink dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 50.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Tyler Zink | Nicolas Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-12.2 | 10.9-12.7 |
| Aces | 7.5 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 65% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tyler Zink
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 08/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Landon Ardila Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Colton Smith Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Ronald Hohmann Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Blake Ellis Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Nicolas Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Andres Martin Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Liam Draxl M25 Laval |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Benjamin Willwerth M25 Laval |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Christian Langmo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Jonah Braswell M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/06 | Oliver Bonding M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/05 | Henry Searle Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tyler Zink vs Nicolas Arseneault?
Our model gives 65% to Tyler Zink, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.