Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 26/07, 20:30
Prediction: Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Quinn Vandecasteele
Prediction summary
Winner
Cesar Bouchelaghem
Quinn Vandecasteele
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Cesar Bouchelaghem
8-2 (W-L)
Quinn Vandecasteele
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cesar Bouchelaghem 1544 · Quinn Vandecasteele 1455
| Cesar Bouchelaghem | Quinn Vandecasteele | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cesar Bouchelaghem (rating 1544 vs 1455).
- Cesar Bouchelaghem is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Cesar Bouchelaghem | Quinn Vandecasteele | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10 | 10.6-12 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 56.4% | 38.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cesar Bouchelaghem
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Hlib Bohach Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Leo Vithoontien Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 04/07 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Ali Yazdani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Quinn Vandecasteele
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 07/07 | James Trotter Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 28/06 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Charles Broom Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Aidan Kim Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Quinn Vandecasteele?
Our model gives 54% to Cesar Bouchelaghem, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.