Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 26/07, 22:00
Prediction: Braden Shick vs Benjamin Thomas George
Prediction summary
Winner
Braden Shick
Benjamin Thomas George
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Braden Shick
6-4 (W-L)
Benjamin Thomas George
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Braden Shick 1543 · Benjamin Thomas George 1444
| Braden Shick | Benjamin Thomas George | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Braden Shick (rating 1543 vs 1444).
- Braden Shick is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Benjamin Thomas George makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Braden Shick | Benjamin Thomas George | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.8 | 10.3-12.4 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Braden Shick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Andrew Fenty M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Duncan Chan M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | William Manning M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 05/06 | Liam Draxl Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Benjamin Thomas George
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/07 | James Trotter Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Matthew Thomson M25 Laval |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Drazen Petrovic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Matias Ponce de Leon Gomila M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Matias Ponce de Leon Gomila M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Dmitrii Shirokii M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Braden Shick vs Benjamin Thomas George?
Our model gives 76% to Braden Shick, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.