Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 26/07, 19:00

Prediction: Pavle Marinkov vs Christian Langmo

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
Pavle Marinkov Christian Langmo
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Pavle Marinkov 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLLLLWLL
Christian Langmo 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWLLWWLW
Head-to-head
Pavle Marinkov 0–5 Christian Langmo (5 last)
  • 16 Jun0-2 2-12L
  • 19 Mar1-2 18-20L
  • 28 Feb0-2 10-13L
  • 23 Nov0-2 4-12L
  • 22 Oct1-2 12-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pavle Marinkov 1412 · Christian Langmo 1472
Pavle MarinkovChristian Langmo
Our model41%59%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Christian Langmo (rating 1412 vs 1472).
  • Christian Langmo dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 50% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Pavle Marinkov 0–5 Christian Langmo (5).
  • Note: Pavle Marinkov makes many double faults (7.2/match).
  • Note: Christian Langmo makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Pavle MarinkovChristian Langmo
Win %20%40%
Win % · Hard 20% (10) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.4-1.71.2-1.3
Games (G-P)7.7-11.512.1-12.4
Aces4.46.7
Double faults7.24
1st serve %67.8%74.3%
Break %22.6%50%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

H2H · Pavle Marinkov 05 Christian Langmo (5)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pavle Marinkov 05 Christian Langmo

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DateSetsGamesRes.
16/06/26
M25 Tulsa
0-22-12L
19/03/25
ITF M25 Swan Hill
1-218-20L
28/02/25
M25 Launceston
0-210-13L
23/11/24
ITF M25 Caloundra
0-24-12L
22/10/24
Challenger Playford
1-212-16L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pavle Marinkov

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/07 Mikael Arseneault
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
13/07 Yibing Wu
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
12/07 Ronit Karki
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
16/06 Christian Langmo
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
11/06 Duncan Chan
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
09/06 Ryan Colby
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
31/05 Masamichi Imamura
Challenger Tyler · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
24/05 Justin Boulais
Challenger Little Rock · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
21/04 Kokoro Isomura
M25 Luzhou · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
13/04 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Challenger Wuning · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Christian Langmo

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/07 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
15/07 Yibing Wu
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
13/07 Joshua Sheehy
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-1 19-15 W
12/07 Alex Kobelt
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
28/06 Samir Banerjee
Challenger Cary · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
19/06 Jeffrey John Wolf
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
1-2 12-16 L
18/06 Nicolas Arseneault
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
16/06 Pavle Marinkov
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
10/06 Kenta Miyoshi
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
1-2 12-18 L
02/06 Daniel Milavsky
Challenger Tyler · Hard
1-2 13-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pavle Marinkov vs Christian Langmo?

Our model gives 65% to Christian Langmo, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.