Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 26/07, 23:30
Prediction: Kokoro Isomura vs Karl Poling
Prediction summary
Winner
Kokoro Isomura
Karl Poling
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Kokoro Isomura
3-7 (W-L)
Karl Poling
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kokoro Isomura 1511 · Karl Poling 1489
| Kokoro Isomura | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Kokoro Isomura | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-12.6 | 13.8-13.6 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 62% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kokoro Isomura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | James Trotter Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Ben Jones Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Alexander Rozin Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Hunter Heck Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Naoto Tomizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Maximus Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 13/06 | Pawit Sornlaksup M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Karl Poling
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/07 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Laval |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Maxime St-Hilaire M25 Laval |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Rozin M25 Laval |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 09/06 | James Trotter M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kokoro Isomura vs Karl Poling?
Our model gives 55% to Karl Poling, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.