Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 26/07, 19:00
Prediction: Mikael Arseneault vs James Trotter
Prediction summary
Winner
Mikael Arseneault
James Trotter
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mikael Arseneault
5-5 (W-L)
James Trotter
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mikael Arseneault 1475 · James Trotter 1506
| Mikael Arseneault | James Trotter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- James Trotter dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 40.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Mikael Arseneault | James Trotter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.9 | 12.2-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 8.3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 34.3% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mikael Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Pavle Marinkov Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Timo Legout M25 Laval |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Niels Peter Van Noord M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Alex Kobelt M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Noah Zamora M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
James Trotter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
| 12/07 | Jared Horwood Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Ronit Karki Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mikael Arseneault vs James Trotter?
Our model gives 68% to James Trotter, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.